Ethereum Supply Dynamics Turn Favorable as Staking Rises, But Weak U.S. Demand Caps Recovery

Ethereum Coinbase premium

Key highlights:

  • Ethereum remains below key EMA resistance levels despite holding support near $1,560
  • Exchange reserves continue to decline as investors move ETH off exchanges
  • Coinbase Premium Index has fallen to a monthly low, signaling weak U.S. demand

Exchange reserves continue to fall

On-chain data shows that Ethereum balances held on centralized exchanges continue to decline.

Exchange outflow metrics recorded a sharp drop in reserves over the past 24 hours, indicating that investors are withdrawing ETH from trading platforms. Such movements are generally interpreted as a sign of long-term holding behavior rather than imminent selling pressure.

The continued reduction in exchange-held ETH complements the network’s rising staking activity. Together, the trends point to decreasing liquid supply across the market.

Still, demand remains the missing piece of the puzzle.

Source: Santiment

Can ETH defend its key support zone?

From a technical perspective, Ethereum remains at a critical juncture.

The asset continues to trade below major EMA levels, signaling that sellers still maintain control of the broader trend. However, the demand zone around $1,560 has so far absorbed downside pressure and prevented a deeper correction.

If buyers can defend this area and U.S. demand begins to recover, Ethereum could attempt a move toward higher resistance levels in the coming sessions.

As it stands, the market remains caught between two opposing forces: a steadily tightening supply and weakening investor demand. 

Until one side gains a clear advantage, ETH may continue consolidating near current levels despite the increasingly bullish on-chain backdrop.

ETH price analysis

Source:: Ethereum Supply Dynamics Turn Favorable as Staking Rises, But Weak U.S. Demand Caps Recovery