Key highlights:
Stellar has spent the past few months moving lower, but the technical picture is beginning to improve. After falling about 46.6% from its February high near $0.35 to around $0.187, the XLM price is testing an area where several bullish indicators are starting to overlap.
Away from the charts, Stellar’s ecosystem continues to expand. New institutional partnerships, tokenized real-world assets, and upcoming network upgrades are giving the blockchain more utility, although broader market conditions are still limiting how far the XLM price can move.
The XLM price is approaching a key technical test
Crypto analyst Eric Van Tassel believes XLM is one of the cleaner technical setups on the market right now. He points to a falling wedge pattern, bullish RSI divergence, and the price trading within the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone.
$XLM is still one of the cleaner setups I’m watching right now. Here’s why:
• A well-defined falling wedge
• Price sitting in the .618-.786 Fibonacci retracement zone
• Holding above the 200-day SMA
• Daily RSI continuing to print bullish divergence.None of these signals… pic.twitter.com/Hlm6VXaGZ7
— Eric Van Tassel (Not a Financial Advisor!) (@XRPathologist) July 15, 2026
We had a look at the chart he shared, and it shows Stellar trading at an important decision point. The XLM price is trading near $0.187, almost at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.1870. That level has become the first major resistance buyers need to clear if they want to extend the recovery.
Momentum is also starting to improve. The daily RSI has climbed to 48.72, moving above its RSI moving average at 47.31. More importantly, the RSI has continued forming higher lows even though the XLM price printed lower lows over the past several months.
Institutional adoption continues expanding the Stellar network
Beyond the technical picture, Stellar continues adding new institutional use cases. Tradable plans to migrate up to $1 billion in private credit assets onto the Stellar blockchain.
The network already hosts more than $3 billion in tokenized real-world assets, and the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) has selected Stellar as the first public blockchain for its tokenized securities platform, with live assets expected during the first half of 2027.
Every transaction on the network requires XLM, so higher blockchain usage naturally creates additional demand for the token.
Development is also going on across the ecosystem. Stellar’s upcoming Protocol 27 upgrade introduces delegated authentication, and the Soroban smart contract platform remains a major focus for expanding decentralized finance applications.
A $100 million developer fund is helping support projects building on Soroban, although broader adoption will determine how much those upgrades contribute to the network over time.
What comes next for the XLM price?
The XLM price is sitting at one of its most important technical levels in months. The first hurdle remains $0.1870. A successful move above that level could bring $0.20, $0.2045, and then $0.2236 into focus as buyers try to build a stronger recovery.
If sellers regain control, support remains around $0.1816, followed by $0.1755 and $0.1647. The next move now depends on whether buyers can finally push the XLM price above resistance and confirm that the months-long downtrend is beginning to lose strength.
CoinCodex’s 1-month XLM price prediction places the price at $0.2180, implying potential upside from current levels if the XLM price can break above the $0.1870 Fibonacci resistance and reclaim the $0.20 level.
Source:: Stellar Price Prediction: XLM Is Trapped Between Growing Adoption and Bearish Price Action