The meme coin OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) rose 5.11% over the past 24 hours, outpacing its 7-day gain of 7.65% but still down 31.3% over the last 90 days. The recent uptick stems from a confluence of speculative fervor, technical momentum, and easing liquidity concerns—though sustainability remains uncertain.
A key catalyst emerged on December 31, 2025, when Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announced a new regulated token, DJT, reserved for shareholders. While DJT is legally and technically distinct from the TRUMP memecoin, the announcement reignited investor interest in all Trump-branded digital assets. Market participants, especially momentum traders, often treat politically affiliated tokens as a correlated asset class during major news events. The result was a 107% spike in TRUMP’s 24-hour trading volume, which surged to $498 million as capital rotated into the memecoin as a proxy bet on the broader Trump crypto narrative. Investors should monitor whether DJT gains traction or, more critically, whether any integrations emerge between DJT and the TRUMP ecosystem—though none have been confirmed to date.
Simultaneously, TRUMP staged a technical breakout that attracted algorithmic and retail traders alike. The token cleared both its 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $5.36 and its 7-day simple moving average of $4.96. The MACD histogram turned positive (+0.071), reinforcing short-term bullish sentiment. However, the rally pushed the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to 70.75, edging into overbought territory and signaling heightened risk of a near-term pullback. Should TRUMP maintain upward momentum and close above the next Fibonacci resistance at $5.71 (the 23.6% retracement level), it could target the January 3 swing high of $6.02. Yet, any failure to hold these levels may trigger swift liquidations given the asset’s inherent volatility.
Liquidity dynamics have also shifted in TRUMP’s favor—at least temporarily. In December 2025, wallets linked to the project’s team withdrew approximately $94 million in USDC from liquidity pools, sparking fears of coordinated selling. However, those outflows have noticeably slowed in recent days, easing immediate downside pressure. That said, TRUMP continues to exhibit a high turnover ratio of 0.467, reflecting aggressive trading activity but also thin order books that can amplify price swings in either direction.
In sum, TRUMP’s latest rally is driven less by fundamentals and more by speculative overlap with Trump Media’s DJT launch, reinforced by short-term technical signals. Its ability to sustain gains now hinges on two external variables: the broader appetite for memecoins in a volatile macro environment and the behavior of team-linked wallets. A critical test looms ahead—if Bitcoin stalls near its key resistance level of $88,200, risk assets like TRUMP could face renewed selling pressure. For now, all eyes are on whether TRUMP can defend the psychological $5.00 support amid shifting market tides.
Source:: Trump-Linked Meme Coin TRUMP Surges 5% Amid DJT Token Hype and Technical Breakout