Tag: NEW

Markets Price a 35% Chance of a New US Government Shutdown in 2026

By Emir Abyazov Key highlights: Polymarket estimates a 35% probability of a new US government shutdown beginning January 31, 2026. Kalshi data closely aligns, signaling growing concern among traders despite the recent crisis ending. The forecast reflects unresolved budget disputes and memories of the costly 43-day shutdown in 2025. Forecasting platforms are signaling renewed concern […]